GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 8/2/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sydney United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sydney United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while NWS Spirit are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney United hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sydney United holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sydney United

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

54.6%

Sydney United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney UnitedLDWWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
NWS SpiritLLWDW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sydney UnitedNWS Spirit
48.8Attack41.7
76.2Defence56.0
71.4Form44.0
67.3Power48.0
1.48xG0.60
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