GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 2/27/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sydney United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sydney United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Manly United are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney United hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sydney United holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sydney United

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

53.2%

Sydney United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney UnitedWWWDW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Manly UnitedDDWWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sydney UnitedManly United
48.8Attack39.3
76.2Defence58.3
71.4Form45.2
67.3Power48.9
1.40xG0.57
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