GGOALVIO

Australia · Australia Cup · 7/22/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sydney United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sydney United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Central Coast Mariners are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney United hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Australia Cup, while Sydney United holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sydney United

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Sydney United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney UnitedWWDLW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Central Coast MarinersLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sydney UnitedCentral Coast Mariners
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
48.3Power45.3
1.79xG1.50
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