Sydney Unitedvs
Central Coast Mariners
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australia Cup · 7/22/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sydney United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sydney United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Central Coast Mariners are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney United hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Australia Cup, while Sydney United holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sydney United
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Sydney United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60