GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 3/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sydney United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sydney United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Blacktown City are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney United hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.6% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sydney United holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sydney United

Probability

60.6%

Model confidence

60.6%

Sydney United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney UnitedWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Blacktown CityLLLLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sydney UnitedBlacktown City
48.8Attack49.4
76.2Defence45.7
71.4Form38.3
67.3Power46.2
1.84xG0.71
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