GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 2/28/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NWS Spirit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sydney Olympic are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while NWS Spirit are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and NWS Spirit hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the New South Wales NPL, while NWS Spirit holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NWS Spirit

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

NWS Spirit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney OlympicDWLLL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NWS SpiritLLWLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sydney OlympicNWS Spirit
36.9Attack41.7
28.6Defence56.0
26.2Form44.0
32.9Power48.0
1.01xG1.72
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