GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Mediumconfidence

Sydney Olympic are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 38.6-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 71.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

81.0%

Model confidence

10.8%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney OlympicLLDWL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersWWWWL

GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Sydney OlympicAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
36.9Attack73.8
28.6Defence60.7
26.2Form76.2
32.9Power71.6
0.84xG3.28
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