GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 7/17/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sydney II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Manly United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Manly United hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the New South Wales NPL, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney IILLWWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Manly UnitedWWDWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sydney IIManly United
41.7Attack39.3
51.2Defence58.3
44.0Form45.2
46.4Power48.9
1.12xG1.07
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