Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sydney II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sydney II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while UNSW are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney II hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sydney II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sydney II
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Sydney II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60