GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 4/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sydney FC U23 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sydney FC U23 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while St. George Saints are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney FC U23 hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sydney FC U23 holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sydney FC U23

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

12.8%

Sydney FC U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney FC U23DLLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
St. George SaintsLLLWW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Sydney FC U23St. George Saints
41.7Attack32.1
51.2Defence41.7
44.0Form28.6
46.4Power36.1
1.63xG0.84
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