GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 8/14/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sydney FC U23 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Sydney FC U23 are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while St George City FA are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney FC U23 hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sydney FC U23 holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sydney FC U23

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

14.1%

Sydney FC U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney FC U23DLDDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
St George City FAWWWLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Sydney FC U23St George City FA
43.2Attack30.9
51.9Defence50.6
45.7Form42.0
47.6Power43.8
1.40xG0.81
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