GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 4/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sydney FC U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sydney FC U23 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Blacktown City are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.4 against 46.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sydney FC U23 holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sydney FC U23

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

13.1%

Sydney FC U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney FC U23WDLLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Blacktown CityLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sydney FC U23Blacktown City
41.7Attack49.4
51.2Defence45.7
44.0Form38.3
46.4Power46.2
1.48xG1.33
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