GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swindon Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Swindon Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Swindon Town hold a 54.9-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 23.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Swindon Town holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swindon Town

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

63.9%

Swindon Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon TownLLDLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Swindon SupermarineDDWWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Swindon TownSwindon Supermarine
77.8Attack38.9
72.2Defence0.0
83.3Form16.7
78.3Power23.5
3.82xG0.84
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