Swindon Townvs
Bristol City
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swindon Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Swindon Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Bristol City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol City hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 81.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Swindon Town holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Swindon Town
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Swindon Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20