Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Swansea are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Udinese are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.9 against 54.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Swansea
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80