GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Holstein Kiel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Swansea are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Holstein Kiel are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.9 against 56.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Holstein Kiel holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Holstein Kiel

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Holstein Kiel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SwanseaWDWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Holstein KielWWLLL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
SwanseaHolstein Kiel
55.6Attack71.4
66.7Defence57.1
44.4Form47.6
54.9Power56.9
1.62xG1.76
View match centre →