SwanseavsBirmingham

Swansea are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Birmingham are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Swansea hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the League Cup, while Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.