GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Suzhou Dongwu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Guangxi Hengchen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (41.2 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the League One, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangxi Hengchen

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Suzhou DongwuLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guangxi HengchenLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Suzhou DongwuGuangxi Hengchen
25.9Attack58.8
57.4Defence58.8
31.5Form56.9
41.2Power59.4
0.65xG1.45
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