Suzhou Dongwuvs
Changchun Yatai
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Suzhou Dongwu are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Changchun Yatai are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and changchun Yatai hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (41.2 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the League One, favouring a draw with 14.6% confidence, a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
14.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20