GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sutton Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sutton Utd are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Altrincham are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutton Utd hold a 39.2-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the National League, while Sutton Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sutton Utd

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

11.5%

Sutton Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sutton UtdWWWWD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AltrinchamLWLDD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sutton UtdAltrincham
100.0Attack61.8
100.0Defence55.6
100.0Form55.6
97.0Power57.8
1.74xG1.48
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