Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sutjeska · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sutjeska are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Jezero are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutjeska hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sutjeska holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sutjeska
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Sutjeska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40