Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iskra · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sutjeska are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Iskra are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Iskra hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Iskra holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Iskra
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Iskra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00