Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sutjeska · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sutjeska are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bokelj are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutjeska hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sutjeska holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sutjeska
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Sutjeska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20