GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 4/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sutherland Sharks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sutherland Sharks are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rockdale City Suns are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutherland Sharks hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sutherland Sharks holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sutherland Sharks

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Sutherland Sharks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sutherland SharksWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rockdale City SunsWLWLW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sutherland SharksRockdale City Suns
53.1Attack54.3
58.0Defence53.1
53.1Form49.4
56.3Power52.0
1.64xG1.25
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