GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 7/4/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sutherland Sharks are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 71.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sutherland SharksWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersLWWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sutherland SharksAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
53.1Attack73.8
58.0Defence60.7
53.1Form76.2
56.3Power71.6
1.29xG1.80
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