GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shinnik Yaroslavl · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Surkhon are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shinnik Yaroslavl are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shinnik Yaroslavl hold a 35.9-point power-rating edge (19.9 v 55.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Shinnik Yaroslavl holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Shinnik Yaroslavl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SurkhonWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shinnik YaroslavlWLDWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SurkhonShinnik Yaroslavl
0.0Attack41.7
33.3Defence63.9
11.1Form55.6
19.9Power55.8
0.99xG1.49
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