Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Surkhon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Surkhon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Enisey are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Enisey hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (19.9 v 29.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Surkhon holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Surkhon
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Surkhon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60