Super Novavs
Rīgas FS
SCHEDULEDLatvia · Cup · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Super Nova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Super Nova are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rīgas FS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Cup, while Super Nova holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Super Nova
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
7.5%
Super Nova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00