Super Novavs
Ogre United
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 7/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Super Nova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Super Nova are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ogre United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Super Nova hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 24.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Virsliga, while Super Nova holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Super Nova
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Super Nova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20