Super Novavs
Ogre United
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 5/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Super Nova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Super Nova are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ogre United are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Super Nova hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 24.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Virsliga, while Super Nova holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Super Nova
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Super Nova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80