Super NovavsGrobiņa

Super Nova are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Grobiņa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Super Nova hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Virsliga, while Super Nova holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.