GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 6/27/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Super Nova 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Super Nova 2 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tukums II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Super Nova 2 hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 26.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the 1. Liga, while Super Nova 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Super Nova 2

Probability

71.8%

Model confidence

9.1%

Super Nova 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Super Nova 2LDWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Tukums IILLDWL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Super Nova 2Tukums II
47.9Attack43.8
52.1Defence6.3
47.9Form25.0
50.8Power26.9
2.92xG1.10
View match centre →