GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 5/2/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Super Nova 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Super Nova 2 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mārupe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.8 against 49.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the 1. Liga, while Super Nova 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Super Nova 2

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Super Nova 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Super Nova 2LDWDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
MārupeLLDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Super Nova 2Mārupe
47.9Attack54.2
52.1Defence47.9
47.9Form45.8
50.8Power49.1
1.65xG1.45
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