GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 3/28/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sunshine Georgies · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sunshine Georgies are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while St. Albans Saints are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sunshine Georgies hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the Victoria NPL, while Sunshine Georgies holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sunshine Georgies

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

53.2%

Sunshine Georgies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sunshine GeorgiesLDDWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
St. Albans SaintsWLWLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Sunshine GeorgiesSt. Albans Saints
44.4Attack38.9
56.9Defence41.7
48.6Form38.9
51.8Power42.3
1.74xG0.91
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