GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 5/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hume City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sunshine Georgies are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Hume City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 63.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Victoria NPL, while Hume City holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hume City

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Hume City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sunshine GeorgiesLDLDW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hume CityWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sunshine GeorgiesHume City
44.4Attack66.7
56.9Defence55.6
48.6Form63.9
51.8Power63.3
1.25xG1.66
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