GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 8/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avondale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sunshine Georgies are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Avondale are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Avondale hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 62.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the Victoria NPL, while Avondale holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avondale

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

10.7%

Avondale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sunshine GeorgiesDDWDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AvondaleWWDLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sunshine GeorgiesAvondale
42.0Attack85.5
58.0Defence55.1
46.4Form59.4
50.5Power62.8
1.19xG2.06
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