Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunnersta · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Sunnersta are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Falu BS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sunnersta hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (78.4 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Sunnersta holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sunnersta
Probability
68.4%
Model confidence
13.1%
Sunnersta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00