Sumqayıtvs
Neftchi Baku
SCHEDULEDAzerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · 8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sumqayıt are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Neftchi Baku are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Neftchi Baku hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.2% in the Premyer Liqa, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
19.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20