Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suhareka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Suhareka are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Istogu are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Suhareka hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 40.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Liga E Pare, while Suhareka holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suhareka
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
10.2%
Suhareka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 14 · avg 2.60/2.80
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00