GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 7/6/2026, 3:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Suduva Marijampole · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Suduva Marijampole are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while TransINVEST Vilnius are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduva Marijampole hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the A Lyga, while Suduva Marijampole holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Suduva Marijampole

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Suduva Marijampole has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Suduva MarijampoleWWWDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TransINVEST VilniusWDLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Suduva MarijampoleTransINVEST Vilnius
53.6Attack53.3
75.4Defence58.7
60.9Form54.7
63.5Power56.2
1.45xG0.71
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