Suduva MarijampolevsKauno Žalgiris

Suduva Marijampole are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kauno Žalgiris are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduva Marijampole hold a 33.3-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Suduva Marijampole holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.