Suduva MarijampolevsŠiauliai

Suduva Marijampole are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Šiauliai are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduva Marijampole hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.8% in the A Lyga, while Suduva Marijampole holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.