GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 3/14/2026, 12:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Suduva Marijampole · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Suduva Marijampole are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hegelmann Litauen are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduva Marijampole hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.7% in the A Lyga, while Suduva Marijampole holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Suduva Marijampole

Probability

71.7%

Model confidence

71.7%

Suduva Marijampole has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Suduva MarijampoleLWDDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Hegelmann LitauenDDDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Suduva MarijampoleHegelmann Litauen
53.6Attack34.7
75.4Defence45.3
60.9Form30.7
63.5Power38.9
2.02xG0.44
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