Suduva Marijampolevs
Hegelmann Litauen
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 3/14/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduva Marijampole · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Suduva Marijampole are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hegelmann Litauen are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduva Marijampole hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.7% in the A Lyga, while Suduva Marijampole holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suduva Marijampole
Probability
71.7%
Model confidence
71.7%
Suduva Marijampole has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20