Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduroy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Suduroy are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hoyvík are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduroy hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.8% in the 1. Deild, while Suduroy holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suduroy
Probability
80.8%
Model confidence
80.8%
Suduroy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60