Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduroy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Suduroy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while HB II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduroy hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 39.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.7% in the 1. Deild, while Suduroy holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suduroy
Probability
80.7%
Model confidence
80.7%
Suduroy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00