Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduroy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Suduroy are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while ÍF II are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduroy hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.6% in the 1. Deild, while Suduroy holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suduroy
Probability
71.6%
Model confidence
71.6%
Suduroy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 24 · GA 6 · avg 4.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00