Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quinns FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Subiaco are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Quinns FC are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Quinns FC hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Western Australia State League 1, while Quinns FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Quinns FC
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Quinns FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.67