Sturt Lionsvs
West Adelaide
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia NPL · 3/7/2026, 5:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sturt Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sturt Lions are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while West Adelaide are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.5 against 44.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the South Australia NPL, while Sturt Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sturt Lions
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Sturt Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00