GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 7/4/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Playford City Patriots · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sturt Lions are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Playford City Patriots are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Playford City Patriots hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the South Australia NPL, while Playford City Patriots holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Playford City Patriots

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Playford City Patriots has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturt LionsLWLLW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Playford City PatriotsLWLDD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sturt LionsPlayford City Patriots
53.0Attack63.6
45.5Defence53.0
40.9Form53.0
46.5Power56.2
1.60xG2.01
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