Sturt Lionsvs
MetroStars
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia NPL · 3/14/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MetroStars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Sturt Lions are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while MetroStars are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MetroStars
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60