GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 8/15/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sturt Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sturt Lions are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Campbelltown City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturt Lions hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the South Australia NPL, while Sturt Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sturt Lions

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

10.2%

Sturt Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturt LionsDDWDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Campbelltown CityWLDWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sturt LionsCampbelltown City
54.0Attack50.8
47.6Defence44.4
42.9Form41.3
48.1Power46.1
1.99xG1.49
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